Research on the Evolution Trends of Industrial Structure and Spatial Agglomeration under Exogenous Trade Shocks
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.54097/mxjp7z25Keywords:
Exogenous Trade Shocks, Industrial Structure, Spatial Agglomeration, Industrial Upgrading, Regional Industrial LayoutAbstract
The global trade pattern is disturbed by policy adjustments, public health events, and geopolitical situations, and external trade shocks have become normalized, profoundly affecting the upgrading of China's industrial structure and the evolution of regional agglomeration patterns. To clarify the intrinsic relationship between exogenous trade shocks and domestic industrial development, this paper draws on official statistics from the National Bureau of Statistics and the General Administration of Customs. Taking into account the real scenarios of rising trade barriers and cross-border supply chain fluctuations, it analyzes the evolution of the three industrial structures and the differentiation characteristics of the manufacturing industry under external shocks, and explores the restructuring direction of the industrial agglomeration pattern in coastal and inland areas. Research has found that changes in the external economic and trade environment are forcing export-oriented industries to accelerate their transformation. Labor-intensive industries feature concurrent domestic gradient relocation and overseas transfer. High-tech industries continue to converge towards core urban clusters, and industrial spatial layout is gradually departing from the coastal unipolar layout and evolving towards multi-regional coordination. Based on the practical shortcomings of industrial development, proposing targeted optimization paths can provide theoretical basis and practical reference for regional industrial planning and safeguarding the security of industrial and supply chains.
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